Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 17.023171 19.354776 21.896238 24.873361 28.267027 32.017151 36.478568
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 14.085875 17.207524 20.865334 25.472696 31.129196 37.857670 46.485270
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.039577 15.692749 20.262575 26.410729 34.486542 44.761578 58.874691
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.106279 13.994274 19.164207 26.563192 36.919928 50.960960 71.545226
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.223421 12.051661 17.442642 25.620722 37.776781 55.279406 82.579164
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.739423 10.420465 15.893119 24.666954 38.475796 59.533016 94.385539
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.726103 9.317303 14.939886 24.443770 40.244783 65.707668 110.336960
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.985538 8.516756 14.325279 24.653543 42.753118 73.511283 130.487073
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.323328 7.733933 13.613081 24.583000 44.796466 80.935995 151.526123
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.909580 7.311471 13.446658 25.440690 48.643356 92.225485 181.870081
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.462049 6.751939 12.944127 25.596715 51.231714 101.698755 210.759687
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.982060 6.049774 12.060666 24.865884 51.969376 107.755820 234.102782
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.607936 5.506461 11.422227 24.570743 53.668325 116.343108 265.275344
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.380900 5.228611 11.278808 25.301079 57.729940 130.797864 312.918268
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.205221 5.031343 11.274863 26.348239 62.741327 148.437881 372.286473
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.990875 4.710079 10.944691 26.593793 65.962204 162.658873 426.858728
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.733678 4.243829 10.203770 25.722531 66.308655 170.056304 465.878464
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.511956 3.824399 9.502691 24.820699 66.413123 176.921372 505.339997
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.358598 3.549081 9.108955 24.640445 68.405259 189.219133 563.324204
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.244455 3.355150 8.889196 24.887824 71.643292 205.670365 637.880310
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.130947 3.142871 8.584900 24.845263 74.065506 220.386110 711.139193
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.066396 3.054515 8.602368 25.736135 79.462258 245.127740 823.190024
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.982076 2.894821 8.392476 25.913198 82.728715 264.137589 921.527829